1. Deter and resist aggression
In the wake of
World War II, the one lesson the free world learned was "Never again"
- not only from the Holocaust, but never again to appease violent, dangerous
regimes, allowing the conquest and murder of millions while we delayed,
negotiated, hoped concessions would satisfy their craving for power and ultimately
responded too late. In fact, "Never
again" as it relates to the Holocaust is tied inextricably with the
democratic nations failure to stop Hitler earlier: 97% of the Jewish men, women
and children murdered in the Holocaust were not German, but victims from
countries conquered or subdued by Nazi aggression: close to 3 million in Poland
alone, 1.3 million in the Soviet Union, over
1/4 million each in Czechoslovakia, Romania and Hungary - then Germany, at
165,000, in that awful list. Of course, appeasement
failed, not only to save any of those lives, but to prevent the total
war that followed, a war that, if it were fought today with modern
weapons, we would likely few of us
survive. Hence the Cold War's most difficult but essential mantra: "Never
again". And this time, not only to just hope and pray and appease to avoid
total war, but to do the hard work necessary to actually avoid it: to deter aggression
wherever possible and resist it whenever necessary, and fight the bloody and
terrible struggles in places like Korea, Vietnam , Iraq and Afghanistan, often
with morally ambiguous allies, methods and limitations that left our soldiers,
military and we ourselves wondering whether we were doing the right thing and
if it was worth the terrible cost, not only in blood and treasure, but in the tearing
of the fabric of our own country brought about by fighting a twilight struggle
with few victories, many defeats and cruel losses. All that to try,
imperfectly, sometimes horribly misguidedly and often stumbling in ignorance, to
live up to the lesson the greatest generation taught us: Never again. Today, we
face that awful choice once more - we
all want peace, but to fail to resist the brutal aggression unleashed against
Ukraine is not the path to peace, but to war, a war of which we have no way of
knowing the outcome, or even imagining the horrible death and destruction of
total war in the nuclear age. Now is the time, and Ukraine is the place, the new
Sudetenland, to make peace if possible but reject appeasement at all costs. Strength
of purpose and resistance to tyranny and violence will stop the Russian aggression,
bring peace, and deter other powerful dictatorships who seek to destroy democracy
and impose their rule by violence and conquest. We must Never again forget the
costly lesson that appeasing aggressors only brings war. As difficult as
fighting the Cold War was, it shows the
way to maintain relative peace: steady, measured and determined resistance to
aggression. That difficult, but proven successful strategy and legacy must be
carried on in Ukraine. Never again must we let the dictators of the world
impose their violent regimes on peoples struggling to build a better,
democratic and free future. Never again must we allow dictators to
threaten the lives of millions. Never again must we allow violent regimes to
threaten and destroy the peace of all humankind. We are like the generation before World War
II - never again must we allow our desire for peace to be turned against us,
emboldening and encouraging evil - and bringing even more terrible death and
destruction.
2. Discourage nuclear weapons proliferation
When the Soviet Union
fell in 1991, Ukraine inherited about 1/3 of its nuclear weapons, which it
voluntarily gave up in return for security assurances from Russia, Great
Britain and the U.S. in the 1994 Budapest Memorandum. If we fail to live up to
our promise to help Ukraine now, in addition to diminishing our standing in the
world, it will send a message to all countries that no promises made to
encourage denuclearization can be trusted, and they would be better off keeping,
or developing, nuclear weapons of their own. The world is dangerous enough with
a slowing growing club of nuclear-armed nations, most deterred by the similar
weapons of their adversaries, or democratic governments that foreswear national
aggression. Failing to keep our promise to protect the one country in history
that voluntarily surrendered a world-destroying arsenal of nuclear weapons
would send a dangerous signal and unleash a new round of nuclear proliferation,
threatening us all with the very apocalypse the non-proliferation and nuclear treaty work of the last three-quarters
century has so far successfully avoided. On the other hand, keeping our promise
to help Ukraine would not only strengthen deterrence against aggression, but
also reassure non-nuclear states that their best path to progress and
prosperity should not include wasting resources on nuclear weapons ambitions.
3. Help Ukraine
Ukraine, like many
post-Soviet nations, has struggled to build democracy, the rule of law and a
free, fair and prosperous economy in the wake of generations of totalitarian
communist rule. The smaller Baltic states have had great success, but of the
larger post-Soviet states, only Ukraine, with all the bumps along the way, has
shown a determination and will to fight past corruption, autocracy and
oligarchy to build a peaceful, democratic and prosperous future for its people,
as exemplified by the Maiden protests and revolution o f2013/2014, the
spontaneous volunteer efforts to resist the subsequent Russian aggression, and
the will and determination shown by the Ukrainian people today in their fight
for national survival and freedom. That path, of a people fighting their way up
to freedom after suffering under totalitarian rule, should be encouraged and
supported, not only for its own sake, but as an example to people aspiring to
be free everywhere.
4. Help Russia find a better path
forward
One of those
aspiring-to-be-free peoples are the Russians themselves. From Aleksandr
Solzhenitsyn and all those suffered or died in the Soviet Gulag, purges and
pogroms, to the dissidents who bravely protested or wisely fled Russia at the
beginning of the current war, Russians have risked and in many cases lost their
lives to show that not all Russians support the tyranny of Soviet and now
Russian brutal dictators. Russians must choose between advancing their national
interests through conquest and violence, or joining the civilized world by
renouncing aggression and working to build a better future through, according
to their own lights, as all free peoples do, some combination of innovation, hard work, trade, science, education,
reform, justice, equality, peaceful development, better use of technology, exploration, respect for and preservation of the environment, and the pursuit of moral, ethical and
spiritual excellence. That is the better path forward for Russia - we cannot
impose it, but we can make absolutely clear that the other path, that of war
and aggression, will not be tolerated, and the sooner they renounce it, the
sooner they can begin to build a better future for their country.
5. Uphold international law
International law
is of course a work in progress. Jurisdiction and enforcement are unclear, and
many nations, including the U.S. are unsure whether they really want their
soldiers, for example, subject to international courts outside their control.
Fair enough. But the evolving core of international law is and has been for
some time that, at minimum, treaties are binding, such as the Geneva Convention
treaties and United Nations Charter. Aggression as a means of national
advancement is forbidden by the U. N. Charter, of which the Soviet Union and
its inheritor Russia are signatories: "All Members shall refrain in their
international relations from the threat or use of force against the territorial
integrity or political independence of any State," Article 2(4). Russia reaffirmed the independence and territorial
integrity of Ukraine both in the 1994 Budapest Memorandum and the 1997 agreement
for leasing the Sevastopol naval base.
Its invasion of Ukraine is not a territorial dispute, an intervention to
protect minority language speakers (the same excuse Hitler used and which the
U.N.'s special envoy on human rights implicitly rejected in favor or peaceful,
political reforms in the case of Ukraine in 2014) or a national defense measure
(despite Russian propaganda, NATO is a voluntary, defensive alliance, which
exists only because of Soviet and now Russian aggression). Rather, it is a
straight-up war of conquest, right out of the worst of the 19th and 20th
centuries, with no legal, moral or defense justification whatsoever. In
addition to being immoral, brutal and evil, it is also illegal. If we want to
live in a more peaceful world, where disputes are settled at the ballot box or
in courts, Russia's attempt to turn back the clock to an earlier imperial era
where might makes right must be resisted.
6. Strengthen common defense
against aggression
NATO kept the
peace and deterred Soviet aggression during the entire Cold War. More recently,
it enforced peace and protected minorities in the Balkans, and helped the U.S.
- the only country to actually invoke Article 5 - after 9/11. Forty-three
Polish soldiers died in Afghanistan and Iraq -whatever you think of those
conflicts - giving their lives to protect us.
NATO allies did the messy, difficult and deadly work that the U.N. should have
been doing, providing for the common defense of democratic, free peoples. A
free, strong, and prosperous Ukraine would not only be a rebuke to the tyranny
that Russia has succumbed to, but a great aid in defending freedom on its
eastern flank, potentially saving untold
lives and resources of other democratic allies. No nation has ever resisted
Russian aggression of this magnitude with as much success as has Ukraine. Nobody
knows how to fight the Russians like Ukrainians. That hard-own experience, technology and resourcefulness would be of incalculable
value in preventing war through the only language dictators understand: that of
steady, well armed, capable and ready deterrence.
7. Improve food supply for the developing
world
Ukraine is a major
grain producer, the "breadbasket of Europe" producing 10% of the
world's wheat, 15% of its corn and 50% of sunflower oil, much of it destined
for developing nations. A secure, stable Ukraine means a secure, stable food supply
for some of the most famine-threatened people on earth, and helps to keep
global grain prices down to affordable levels, allowing developing countries to
actually develop by freeing up resources for investment and improved quality of
life. Of course, in times of famine or bad harvests, keeping the world's 7th
largest wheat producer producing could mean more than just quality of life, but
life itself for millions.
8. Better use of civilian nuclear
energy, Ukraine's example
Ukraine is home to
both the worst and best of nuclear energy. The 1986 Chernobyl nuclear disaster at the
tail end of the Soviet era illustrated both the profound risks of nuclear
energy, and, to the Ukrainian people, the total disregard for their health and
safety of their communist leadership, leading to the formation of the Green
Party, the first free political party in Ukraine under the Soviets, and
contributed to the rising discontent that eventually led to the downfall of the
Soviet Union. On the other hand, Ukraine has Europe's largest nuclear energy
plant at Zaporizhzhia, currently under Russian occupation and mostly shutdown,
but which provided more than a fifth of the country's electricity, carbon free,
when operational. Ukraine thus has a lot to offer in experience and expertise with
the risks and benefits of nuclear energy, both for climate concerns and to feed
the growing demand for energy as the essential ingredient in the global battle
against poverty.
9. Build and strengthen allies to
help us in time of need
In addition to
common defense through NATO, the U.S. could also benefit directly by supporting
and learning from the Ukrainian real-world experience of confronting Russia. We
can be sure that potential adversaries like China, Iran and North Korea will be
learning from the Russians, and if we are to be able to counter, deter and if
necessary resist threats from those quarters, we need to learn everything we
can from the Ukrainians experience with drones, AI, and what works and doesn't
work on the actual modern battlefield. We may find some or our assumptions are
completely mistaken, or learn about vulnerabilities or capabilities of which we
were totally unaware. Better to learn now and have experienced allies at our
side, than to wait for a conflict, or worse, to invite aggression by our
neglect of preparedness in ignoring such a valuable ally and resource.
10. Morally right thing to do
In the Budapest
Memorandum we promised to aid Ukraine if they came under threat of or actual
nuclear attack. They have been attacked - and threatened, as we have, with
nuclear "consequences". This
is not a partisan issue. This is about our country standing up for core
American values: freedom, democracy and the rule of law, keeping our
commitments to advance freedom and resist tyranny wherever we can, and keeping
our specific promise to Ukraine to aid them. All the false starts and half
promises of NATO membership have not helped, but the clarity of NATO membership
has kept the other European nations safe, and that, or a equally binding
commitment, is needed now for Ukraine, not just for its security, but to
fulfill our obligation, not only political, but moral, to Ukraine. As Alexis de
Tocqueville wrote in 1838: "America is great because she is good, and if
America ever ceases to be good, she will cease to be great." Can we be great if we ignore our commitment to
our fellow democracies in their hour of greatest peril? Sadly, we often put
partisan or self interest before country until the threat can no longer be
ignored. Today, we can no longer afford that luxury, and must support
democracies before they are destroyed and subsumed by totalitarians, both out
of self-interest enlightened by the "Never again" hard won experience
of greatest generation, and a moral commitment to stand up for what's right and
defend democratic values while we still can.
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Welcome to the discussion.